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Suburb profile ·Lake Macquarie LGA · NSW ·2283

Arcadia Vale NSW 2283

Arcadia Vale is in Lake Macquarie LGA, NSW, postcode 2283, with population 1,431.

The read

Livability-led

The page has enough signal to be useful, but the story is mixed rather than decisive. Use compare mode to pressure-test it against stronger nearby options, then use the calculator if it still makes the shortlist.

$670/wk
Rising
+12.6% YoY
Jun 2025 → Jun 2026 · 13 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2283 · Jun 2026
$670
$580
Jun 2025Jun 2026
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

Median house
$790K
House median, latest period
4.2%YoY D4 vs AU
Median rent
$670/wk
Rent-led investor candidate
12.6%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
4.4%
Moderate yield band
D10 vs AU
Population
1,431
1K local footprint
D8 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Drive to city
1h 51m
131.6 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Solar
4,818
355 added 12mo · 31MW
Price cycleRising
LowPeak

4.2% below peak · 176.0% above its low

See trend depth →

Price history

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionRising
Low · 2005Peak · 2024

4.2% below peak · 176.0% above its low

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+3.7%
5-yr
+9.6%
10-yr
+6.5%
Indicative cashflow-$275/wk (-$14,318/yr) · interest-only @ 6.4%, 80% LVR
Market turnover5.1% of homes traded/yr (29 sales · -11% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitytypical — rents vary ±3.8% around trend (short window, 13 pts)
Value vs advantage-20% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 6)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Agrade · 87/100 · top 13% of 3,604AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 87% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth67
Rental yield87
Stability93
Volatility-10.1ppCycle+2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Arcadia Vale

Owner-occupied 82%Rented 18%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared5.8%
800 of 1,853 landlords
Avg rental loss$7,640/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,853
Reported capital gains1,201
Investor exposure index(moderate vs national)56.7/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

81% of homes here are owner-occupied and 17% rented, with 6% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

81% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

58%
of household income to service a new loan
13.1 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $3,871/mo vs median rent $2,903/mo (+33% · +$223/wk)

If rates move

At 4.2%: $3,091/mo (-780) · at 6.2% (current): $3,871/mo · at 8.2%: $4,726/mo (+855)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
9.8x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Moderate
Renting
43%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,684/mo, while renters pay about $2,903/mo — renting runs $1,219/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$790K
Household income · yr
$81K
Median rent · wk
$670
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,684
Gross yield
4.4%

Household income

$81K household · yr-2.1% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$39K
Family
$96K
Household
$81K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)19% could service the median house
Under $300
23
$300-649
61
$650-999
71
$1,000-1,499
91
$1,500-1,999
61
$2,000-2,999
99
$3,000-3,999
63
$4,000+
33

Serviceability line: a household needs about $2,978/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 67% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,233/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (544 households)
Owned outright
37%
Owned with mortgage
44%
Rented
17%
Dwelling structure8.9% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
98%
Townhouse / semi
1%
Flat / apartment
1%

Getting to work: 74% drive, 1% public transport, 0% walk or cycle, 24% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA971
Students171
Government1
  • Arcadia Vale Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 971

Livability

33/ 100 livability index

Top 67% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 33% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access0
Public transport (15 stops)44
Schools & hospitals25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
7,548
3,402 per 100k
D5 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k3,402
Total incidents7,548· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault1,88557%
  • Sexual Offences67821%
  • Robbery221%
  • Break And Enter70121%

Development screen

Could a secondary dwelling be worth investigating?

secondary dwelling / granny flat screening context Medium broad constraint context

Policy position

Official policy reviewed

Permitted in residential zones under the Housing SEPP; may be approved by consent or as complying development when Housing SEPP and Codes SEPP standards are met.

Rental use: Secondary dwelling rental use is allowed as a dwelling use, subject to planning and tenancy rules.

Open official policy source

Separate houses

89.9%

Suburb share of occupied private dwellings recorded as separate houses.

12.4 pp above the state median

State median 77.5% · 1,253 valid suburbs

Residential-zone context

64.8%

Broad suburb sampling only; the property zoning and overlays can differ.

22.5 pp above the state median

State median 42.3% · 1,245 valid suburbs

Rental households

17.3%

Demand context only; it does not establish permission to rent a secondary dwelling.

8.6 pp below the state median

State median 25.9% · 1,253 valid suburbs

Mapped hazards

bushfire high

The staged suburb layer indicates a broad-area constraint that needs address-level checking. No broad-area layer staged for this suburb.

Approval pathway

Four checks, each with a different evidence threshold.

This is an investigation sequence, not a guarantee that every step applies or that approval will be granted.

  1. 01 Source reviewed

    State policy position

    QuickProperty reviewed the official secondary dwelling / granny flat policy source.

  2. 02 Property dependent

    Planning pathway

    Test consent or complying-development eligibility, including the 450 m² lot marker and all other standards.

  3. 03 Design dependent

    Building approval

    Confirm the building approval route after the design, site classifications, services and construction requirements are known.

  4. 04 Check separately

    Intended use

    Confirm long-term rental, short-stay or family-use rules separately from permission to construct the dwelling.

Property due diligence

Turn the suburb screen into a property checklist.

Every check starts unconfirmed. Progress stays in this browser and suburb evidence never clears an address-level requirement.

0evidence acquired
0evidence missing
0reviews due
0consultant questions

Active record: Arcadia Vale unnamed property

0/14checked
0issues found

Site controls

Lot area and dimensions

Confirm title dimensions, usable site area and any minimum lot threshold.

Status for Lot area and dimensions
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Setbacks and site coverage

Test setbacks, private open space, landscaping and maximum site coverage against a concept plan.

Status for Setbacks and site coverage
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Slope and ground conditions

Check survey levels, soil classification, retaining needs and likely earthworks.

Status for Slope and ground conditions
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Title and planning

Zoning and overlays

Obtain current property-level zoning, overlays and applicable planning controls.

Status for Zoning and overlays
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Title, easements and covenants

Review the title for easements, covenants, restrictions and common property.

Status for Title, easements and covenants
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Services and access

Sewer and stormwater

Locate assets and connection points, then confirm capacity, clearances and discharge requirements.

Status for Sewer and stormwater
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Power, water and metering

Confirm service routes, upgrade needs and whether separate metering is permitted or practical.

Status for Power, water and metering
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Vehicle access and parking

Test driveway width, gradients, turning, parking and emergency access requirements.

Status for Vehicle access and parking
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Construction constraints

Bushfire exposure

Order an address-level bushfire assessment and determine any BAL construction response.

Status for Bushfire exposure
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Flood and overland flow

Obtain property flood information and check floor levels, flow paths and drainage constraints.

Status for Flood and overland flow
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Wind, corrosion and termite

Confirm site classifications that affect structural design, materials and durability.

Status for Wind, corrosion and termite
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Approval and use

Planning approval pathway

Confirm exemption, complying pathway or permit requirements with the responsible authority.

Status for Planning approval pathway
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Building approval and consultants

Identify required survey, design, engineering, energy, certification and inspection evidence.

Status for Building approval and consultants
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Rental and intended use

Confirm occupation, rental, short-stay and family-use rules plus insurance and tax implications.

Status for Rental and intended use
Evidence packMissing

Metadata only. QuickProperty does not store or upload the underlying document.

Arcadia Vale, NSW 2283 · Local browser record

Investigation aid only. Confirm current planning, building, title, service and hazard requirements with qualified professionals and responsible authorities.

Building due diligence

Construction requirements can change by location.

The National Construction Code is the baseline. Local hazards and site classifications can change the required structure, materials, fixings, insulation and detailing.

Known here

SUBURB CONTEXT

Bushfire-prone land

High broad-area context

About 47.9% of the suburb intersects mapped bushfire-prone land.

May affect: External construction · Roof and wall systems · Openings, screens and decks

Check the property

ADDRESS + DESIGN

NCC climate zone

Check the property

Confirm the NCC climate zone used for the building design and energy provisions.

May affect: Insulation and glazing · Condensation control · Roof-space ventilation

Wind class and BAL

Site assessment required

A suburb layer cannot determine the site wind classification or Bushfire Attack Level.

May affect: Structure and tie-downs · Cladding and fixings · Openings and bushfire detailing

Corrosion and termite exposure

Check the property

Confirm marine or corrosive exposure and the applicable termite-management requirements.

May affect: Fasteners and connectors · Roofing and coatings · Termite management

This screen identifies investigation triggers, not building quality or property compliance. Confirm the address, design and current jurisdiction rules with the council, building surveyor or certifier, designer and engineer.

NCC 2022 Housing Provisions: how to use · NCC 2022 Volume Two and Housing Provisions

Bushfire exposure

High exposure ~47.9%
~47.9% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land · ~25.6% Category 1 (highest hazard)

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Low Density Residential
Residential 59% Public / Open space 31% Other 2% Commercial / Mixed 1%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

9,496 people · 20229,720 by 2032 (+2.4%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Wangi Wangi - Rathmines SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Arcadia Vale NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Located in New South Wales within the Lake Macquarie local government area, Arcadia Vale is a small locality (postcode 2283). With a population of 1,431, the suburb has an older-leaning population with a median age of 45. Households earn a median income of $81K per year, with an average household size of 2.5 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.1% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are technicians & trades, professionals, clerical & administrative. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and construction. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Scottish.

The median house price in Arcadia Vale is $790,000, having moved lower by 4.2% over the past year. The current median weekly rent is $670. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 4.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,684.

Arcadia Vale is served by 1 school, including 1 primary. The average ICSEA score is 971, which is around the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 15 bus stops. The crime rate in the Lake Macquarie LGA is below average at 3,402 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 4.4%, which reads as moderate yield. Property prices sit below the state median ($790K/$1.5M), which can point to relative value. The price-to-income ratio of 9.8x is considered moderate. House prices have moved -4.2% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.1% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield4.4%· Moderate Yield
Price vs State$790K/$1.5M Below Median
Affordability9.8x· Moderate
Price Momentum-4.2% Falling
Pop. Growth+1.1%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$1,684
Rent · wk(Census)$385
Market rent · wk(2026-06)$670
Gross yield2.5%
Price / income9.8x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q4)5
Population growth · Lake Macquarie LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)224,540
5-year growth+1.2% CAGR
YoY change+1.1%
20012025
Development · Lake Macquarie LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)1,095
Houses 65%Units 35%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Lake Macquarie LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)4.1%
YoY change+1.4pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2283ATO
Negatively geared5.8%
800 of filers
Avg rental loss$7,640/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,853
Reported capital gains1,201
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population1,431
Median age45
Household size2.5
HH income · wk$1,550
Personal income · wk$748
Persons / bedroom0.8
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)6/10
Education (IEO)4/10
Economic (IER)6/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)5/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,366 → $1,550
Change+13.5%
vs NSW median-7.1 pp
Median rent+18.5%
softeningvs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops15
Hospitals · Lake Macquarie LGAAIHW
Public3
Private6
Belmont Hospitalpublic
John Hunter Hospitalpublic
Morisset Hospitalpublic
Charlestown Private Hospitalprivate
Lake Macquarie Private Hospitalprivate
Newcastle Endoscopy Centreprivate
+3 more in Lake Macquarie LGA
Aged care · Lake Macquarie LGAGEN
Facilities25
Residential places2,405
Tingira Hills Care Community182 places
Whiddon Redhead180 places
Anglican Care Kilpatrick Court147 places
BaptistCare Bethshan Gardens Centre139 places
Anglican Care C A Brown128 places
Bolton Clarke Bayside (PKA - Bayside Residential Aged Care Facility)124 places
+19 more in Lake Macquarie LGA
Childcare · Lake Macquarie LGAACECQA
Services178
Approved places11,794
Exceeding NQS30
Eleebana And Community Outside School Hours Care195 places
Kinda Kapers Belmont North156 places
Cameron Park Early Learning Centre150 places
Community Kids Morisset Early Education Centre150 places
St Nicholas OOSH Kotara150 places
Active OOSH Cameron Park145 places
+172 more in Lake Macquarie LGA
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Arcadia Vale for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025-Q4 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-06 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 15 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Arcadia Vale FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Arcadia Vale in?

    Arcadia Vale is in the Lake Macquarie Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2283. Council-level context for Lake Macquarie LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Arcadia Vale?

    The current median house price in Arcadia Vale, NSW is $790K, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Arcadia Vale?

    The median weekly rent in Arcadia Vale is $670/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-led investor candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Arcadia Vale?

    Rent-led investor candidate: Gross rent yield screens at about 4.4%. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Arcadia Vale a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Arcadia Vale show: Moderate Yield, Below Median, Moderate. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Arcadia Vale?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Arcadia Vale data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.