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Suburb profile · Canterbury · NZ

Winchmore-Wakanui NZ

Winchmore-Wakanui is in Canterbury, New Zealand, with population 1,398.

Limited data

Thin-context

This page still helps with local context, but the evidence stack is too thin for a clean suburb-level call. Use nearby alternatives or compare mode before turning it into a shortlist decision.

Why it fits

Approvals activity points to active development pressure. Lower deprivation supports a livability-led read.

What to check

The page is thin enough that nearby alternatives should be checked before shortlisting.

Median rent
Census rent fallback
Population
1,398
1K local footprint
D3 vs NZ
Income
$50K/yr
Median personal income
D8 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 4
Mid-range deprivation
D4 vs NZ
Schools
1
matched school context

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$542K
+43.4% over 5yr
0.2%YoY
Lower quartile
$453K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
4,110
QV-based HPI
35.5%5yr
Income to buy
6.5x
Years of median income
Annual sales
719
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$2,514/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
36%
of gross household income
Stress level
Stretched
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
8.7 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$2,642
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$2,397
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$2,514
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$2,561

A territorial-authority estimate: the Ashburton District median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Winchmore-Wakanui-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr +4.7%5yr +32.9%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Ashburton District territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Ashburton District territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Winchmore-Wakanui, not a Winchmore-Wakanui-specific sale price.

Personal income

$50K personal · yr+20.2% vs Canterbury suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
129
$10,001-$20,000
114
$20,001-$30,000
138
$30,001-$50,000
174
$50,001-$70,000
237
$70,001-$100,000
183
$100,001 or more
135

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses+2.8pp since 2013
2013
64% owned
2018
61% owned
2023
67% owned

14.3% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

12% damp (-3pp vs 2018) and 10% with visible mould larger than A4 (-1pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

36,100 people · 202339,200 by 2033 (+8.6%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Ashburton District — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,801
Total incidents973· 2026-05
  • Assault11812%
  • Burglary22323%
  • Sexual Assault283%
  • Theft59362%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Low
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
39.2 km
Montalto Fault

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Winchmore-Wakanui's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

8
active listings · ~5.7 per 1,000 residents
88%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
25%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Schools

Total1
Students93
State1
  • Wakanui SchoolFull Primary · State

Investment grade

Bgrade · 69/100 · top 31% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 69% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth92
Rental yield53
Stability25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
5
5 houses · 0 units
150.0%YoY D6 vs NZ

Employment

Employed residents
804
Was 864 in 2018
6.9%vs 2018 D3 vs NZ

Full data detail

Winchmore-Wakanui Canterbury — Property Data and Demographics

Winchmore-Wakanui is a small community in Canterbury with a population of 1,398 and a median age of 40. Median personal income is $50K per year. The main ethnic groups are European, Asian, Māori. Canterbury population estimates moved +1.1% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +2.1% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 864 in 2018 to 804 in 2023 (-6.9%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Livability indicators for Winchmore-Wakanui: NZDep decile 4 (moderate deprivation); 1 school with avg EQI 415.

In 2026, Winchmore-Wakanui recorded 5 building approvals (5 houses, 0 units), up 150% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
School QualityEQI 415· Average
DeprivationDecile 4· Moderate
Development+150% Accelerating
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)5
Houses5
YoY change+150%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population1,398
Median age40
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$49,900
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived4/10
NZDep score953

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
European1,185
Asian135
Māori81
Pacific Peoples21
MELAA18
Top industriesCensus 23
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing330
Manufacturing63
Professional, Scientific and Technical45
Construction42
Transport, Postal and Warehousing42
Area & amenity
Hospitals · Ashburton DistrictMoH
Ashburton HospitalPublic Hospital
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Thin evidence

Winchmore-Wakanui is a thin local read rather than a complete suburb verdict.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
Stats NZ Census 2023 · No linked local rent source
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Missing
Schools
MoE school directory · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Available
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · No matched local transport stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.
Sparse locality note

This page stays indexable because Winchmore-Wakanui still carries enough real local context to help with NZ suburb discovery. It should still be read as a lighter locality brief, not as a fully covered suburb profile.

WHY IT LOOKS LIGHTER
The page is missing a direct local rent signal.

That leaves the page relying more on Census and service context than on a stronger market read.

WHAT IS MISSING
Coverage is lighter across hospital coverage and transport stops.

Coverage is thinner on hospital coverage and transport stops; don't let a single sparse read define the suburb.

BEST NEXT STEP
Use this page to frame the locality, then compare or zoom back out.

Use the region hub, compare, or nearby better-covered suburbs first, before treating this as a complete market read.

Page status
INDEXED WITH LIGHTER COVERAGE

The page still has enough real suburb context to remain searchable, but some market and service layers are too light for a full-confidence read.

HOW TO READ THIS PAGE

Frame the locality with this page, then pressure-test the story in compare, the region hub, or a better-covered nearby suburb before calling it complete.

Stronger nearby reads

If Winchmore-Wakanui feels too thin on its own, use these nearby suburbs as stronger local reads before treating it as a full shortlist call.

Ealing-Lowcliffe most similar
similar deprivation profile similar suburb scale similar income profile

pop +100 · adds rent coverage · income +$3K

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Chertsey most similar
similar deprivation profile similar suburb scale similar income profile

pop +200 · adds rent coverage · income +$3K

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Tinwald North most similar
similar deprivation profile similar suburb scale similar income profile

pop +100 · adds rent coverage · income -$3K

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Winchmore-Wakanui FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the livability profile for Winchmore-Wakanui?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Winchmore-Wakanui show: Average, Moderate, Accelerating. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  2. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Winchmore-Wakanui?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  3. How often is the Winchmore-Wakanui data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.