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Suburb profile · Canterbury · NZ

Ashburton Forks NZ

Ashburton Forks is in Canterbury, New Zealand, with population 2,307.

The read

Growth-momentum

The page gives you enough to keep this suburb in view, but not enough to make a fast conviction call. Use compare mode or the region hub to see whether the mixed picture still holds up against alternatives.

$490/wk
1/01/2020 → 1/07/2025 · 5 periods
Tenancy Services · 1/07/2025
$490
$300
1/01/20201/07/2025
Why it fits

Approvals activity points to active development pressure. Lower deprivation supports a livability-led read.

Median rent
$490/wk
Income-stretched rent market
D2 vs NZ
Population
2,307
2K local footprint
D6 vs NZ
Income
$54K/yr
Median personal income
D9 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 4
Mid-range deprivation
D4 vs NZ
Schools
2
matched school context

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$542K
+43.4% over 5yr
0.2%YoY
Lower quartile
$453K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
4,110
QV-based HPI
35.5%5yr
Income to buy
6.5x
Years of median income
Annual sales
719
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$2,514/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
36%
of gross household income
Stress level
Stretched
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
8.7 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$2,642
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$2,397
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$2,514
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$2,561

A territorial-authority estimate: the Ashburton District median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Ashburton Forks-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr +4.7%5yr +32.9%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Ashburton District territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Ashburton District territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Ashburton Forks, not a Ashburton Forks-specific sale price.

Rent trend depth

Rent cycle positionRents at their peak
Low · 2020Peak · 2025

At / near its highest median rent on record

Rent trend is derived from MBIE tenancy-bond medians and excludes suburbs with too few bonds to be reliable.

Personal income

$54K personal · yr+30.8% vs Canterbury suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
246
$10,001-$20,000
129
$20,001-$30,000
147
$30,001-$50,000
288
$50,001-$70,000
462
$70,001-$100,000
303
$100,001 or more
198

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses-6.2pp since 2013
2013
53% owned
2018
49% owned
2023
47% owned

11.4% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

15% damp (-3pp vs 2018) and 8% with visible mould larger than A4 (-1pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

36,100 people · 202339,200 by 2033 (+8.6%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Ashburton District — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,801
Total incidents973· 2026-05
  • Assault11812%
  • Burglary22323%
  • Sexual Assault283%
  • Theft59362%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Moderate
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
5.0 km
Montalto Fault

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Ashburton Forks's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

15
active listings · ~6.5 per 1,000 residents
93%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
20%
run by multi-listing operators
Investment view Estimated
$186
median nightly (entire home)
24%
estimated occupancy
$21,819
estimated annual revenue (gross)

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Schools

Total2
Students175
State2
  • Mayfield School (Mid-Canterbury)Full Primary · State
  • Mt Somers Springburn SchoolFull Primary · State

Livability

38/ 100 livability index

Top 62% most liveable of 1,902New Zealand suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 38% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access46
Public transport0
Schools & hospitals70

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within New Zealand suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Investment grade

Bgrade · 69/100 · top 31% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 69% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth92
Rental yield53
Stability25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Cheaper to rent

lower weekly rent · cross-TA

Less deprived

lower NZDep decile · cross-TA

Alternatives are similar-rent suburbs (0.6–1.6x this suburb's median rent) in other territorial authorities that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
16
16 houses · 0 units
60.0%YoY D9 vs NZ

Employment

Employed residents
1,437
Was 1,404 in 2018
2.4%vs 2018 D7 vs NZ

Full data detail

Ashburton Forks Canterbury — Property Data and Demographics

Ashburton Forks is a small suburb in Canterbury with a population of 2,307 and a median age of 34. Median personal income is $54K per year. The main ethnic groups are European, Asian, Māori. Canterbury population estimates moved +1.1% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +2.1% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 1,404 in 2018 to 1,437 in 2023 (+2.4%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Median weekly rent in Ashburton Forks is $490 (490 houses, 0 units). This represents approximately 47% of median weekly personal income.

Livability indicators for Ashburton Forks: NZDep decile 4 (moderate deprivation); 2 schools with avg EQI 440.

In 2026, Ashburton Forks recorded 16 building approvals (16 houses, 0 units), up 60% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
Rent Affordability47% Stretched
School QualityEQI 440· Average
DeprivationDecile 4· Moderate
Development+60% Accelerating
Rental marketMBIE
Median rent · wk(1/07/2025)$490
House · wk$490
Rent / income46.9%
Lodgements12
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)16
Houses16
YoY change+60%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population2,307
Median age34
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$54,300
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived4/10
NZDep score961

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
European1,824
Asian351
Māori150
MELAA48
Pacific Peoples39
Top industriesCensus 23
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing813
Accommodation and Food69
Rental, Hiring and Real Estate63
Manufacturing60
Construction54
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations2
Cafes & dining3
Hospitals · Ashburton DistrictMoH
Ashburton HospitalPublic Hospital
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Ashburton Forks has enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
MBIE rental bond data · 1/07/2025 · Bond market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Schools
MoE school directory · 2 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Available
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · No matched local transport stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.

Ashburton Forks FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the typical weekly rent in Ashburton Forks?

    The median weekly rent in Ashburton Forks is $490/wk, based on the MBIE market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  2. What does the rent signal say about Ashburton Forks?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 47% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  3. What is the livability profile for Ashburton Forks?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Ashburton Forks show: Stretched, Average, Moderate. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  4. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Ashburton Forks?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  5. How often is the Ashburton Forks data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.