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Suburb profile · Otago · NZ

Kelvin Heights NZ

Kelvin Heights is in Otago, New Zealand, with population 1,185.

The read

Livability-led

There are enough weaker signals here that you should expect trade-offs, not a clean local story. Compare it directly with stronger nearby suburbs before treating it as a preferred option.

$1200/wk
1/04/2020 → 1/07/2025 · 20 periods
Tenancy Services · 1/07/2025
$1200
$575
1/04/20201/07/2025
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal. Lower deprivation supports a livability-led read.

Median rent
$1200/wk
Rent-pressure candidate
D10 vs NZ
Population
1,185
1K local footprint
D2 vs NZ
Income
$55K/yr
Median personal income
D9 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 1
Lower deprivation
D1 vs NZ
Schools
No matched schools

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$1.35M
+37.9% over 5yr
4.3%YoY
Lower quartile
$980K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
3,647
QV-based HPI
34.2%5yr
Income to buy
10.9x
Years of median income
Annual sales
1,175
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$6,266/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
61%
of gross household income
Stress level
Severe
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
14.5 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$6,585
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$5,975
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$6,266
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$6,383

A territorial-authority estimate: the Queenstown Lakes District median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Kelvin Heights-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr +4.4%5yr +39.4%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Queenstown Lakes District territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Queenstown Lakes District territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Kelvin Heights, not a Kelvin Heights-specific sale price.

Rent trend depth

Rent cycle positionRents at their peak
Low · 2023Peak · 2025

At / near its highest median rent on record

Rent growth (compound)3-yr +19.7%/yr · 5-yr +14.9%/yr

Rent trend is derived from MBIE tenancy-bond medians and excludes suburbs with too few bonds to be reliable.

Personal income

$55K personal · yr+32.8% vs Otago suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
93
$10,001-$20,000
78
$20,001-$30,000
111
$30,001-$50,000
186
$50,001-$70,000
192
$70,001-$100,000
147
$100,001 or more
204

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses+0.8pp since 2013
2013
73% owned
2018
68% owned
2023
74% owned

36.3% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

6% damp (-3pp vs 2018) and 2% with visible mould larger than A4 (-4pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

51,500 people · 202363,100 by 2033 (+22.5%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Queenstown-Lakes District — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k4,683
Total incidents2,239· 2026-05
  • Assault24053%
  • Burglary15735%
  • Robbery225%
  • Sexual Assault358%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Moderate
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
15.1 km
Cardrona Fault
Fault slip rate
Low
Higher = more active

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Kelvin Heights's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

100
active listings · ~84.4 per 1,000 residents
87%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
53%
run by multi-listing operators
Investment view Estimated
$684
median nightly (entire home)
14%
estimated occupancy
$29,677
estimated annual revenue (gross)

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Livability

25/ 100 livability index

Top 75% most liveable of 1,902New Zealand suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 25% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access38
Public transport (10 stops)60
Schools & hospitals0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within New Zealand suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Investment grade

Fgrade · 3/100 · top 97% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 3% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth86
Rental yield3
Stability3

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Cheaper to rent

lower weekly rent · cross-TA

Alternatives are similar-rent suburbs (0.6–1.6x this suburb's median rent) in other territorial authorities that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
5
5 houses · 0 units
66.7%YoY D6 vs NZ

Employment

Employed residents
711
Was 714 in 2018
0.4%vs 2018 D3 vs NZ

Full data detail

Kelvin Heights Otago — Property Data and Demographics

Kelvin Heights is a small community in Otago with a population of 1,185 and a median age of 43. Median personal income is $55K per year. The main ethnic groups are European, Asian, Māori. Otago population estimates moved +0.6% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +1.6% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 714 in 2018 to 711 in 2023 (-0.4%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Median weekly rent in Kelvin Heights is $1200 (1,200 houses, 550 units). This represents approximately 114% of median weekly personal income.

Livability indicators for Kelvin Heights: NZDep decile 1 (low deprivation (affluent)); 10 transport stops (10 bus).

In 2026, Kelvin Heights recorded 5 building approvals (5 houses, 0 units), down 66.7% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
Rent Affordability114% Stretched
DeprivationDecile 1 Low
Transport Access10 stops· Some Access
Development-67% Slowing
Rental marketMBIE
Median rent · wk(1/07/2025)$1200
House · wk$1200
Unit · wk$550
Rent / income114.1%
Lodgements18
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)5
Houses5
YoY change-66.7%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population1,185
Median age43
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$54,700
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived1/10
NZDep score892

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
European1,035
Asian78
Māori69
MELAA39
Pacific Peoples9
Top industriesCensus 23
Construction111
Accommodation and Food93
Professional, Scientific and Technical84
Retail Trade63
Transport, Postal and Warehousing42
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining2
TransportGTFS
Bus stops10
Hospitals · Queenstown-Lakes DistrictMoH
Lakes District HospitalPublic Hospital
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Kelvin Heights for a first-pass decision.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
MBIE rental bond data · 1/07/2025 · Bond market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Schools
MoE school directory · No linked local school matches
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Missing
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · 10 matched stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Available
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.

Kelvin Heights FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the typical weekly rent in Kelvin Heights?

    The median weekly rent in Kelvin Heights is $1200/wk, based on the MBIE market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-pressure candidate.

  2. What does the rent signal say about Kelvin Heights?

    Rent-pressure candidate: Kelvin Heights rents screen above the local benchmark. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  3. What is the livability profile for Kelvin Heights?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Kelvin Heights show: Stretched, Low, Some Access. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  4. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Kelvin Heights?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  5. How often is the Kelvin Heights data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.