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Suburb profile ·Mornington Peninsula LGA · VIC ·3926

Balnarring Beach VIC 3926

Balnarring Beach is in Mornington Peninsula LGA, VIC, postcode 3926, with population 471.

The read

Verify-first

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$1.6M
-23.3% YoY
2014 → 2024 · 11 periods
ABS + state medians
$2.1M
$700K
2014 2024
Why it fits

Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

Evidence depth is verify-heavy, so the profile should be treated as provisional. Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.6M
House median, latest period
23.3%YoY D9 vs AU
Median rent
$423/wk
Market rent signal
D9 vs AU
Gross yield
1.3%
Low yield band
D2 vs AU
Population
172,217
172K via Mornington Peninsula LGA · SAL undercount
Schools
No matched school data
Drive to city
Not in commute dataset
Solar
841
46 added 12mo · 6MW

Price history

Rental vacancy rate

Rental vacancy rate · Greater Melbourne
2.5%
Balanced market

Official vacancy is published at the Greater Melbourne level, not per suburb. Shaded band marks a balanced market (2.5–3.5%).

Source: Homes Victoria Rental Report (DFFH) · Latest: Sep 2025

Trend & investor depth

Indicative cashflow-$1,307/wk (-$67,983/yr) · interest-only @ 6.4%, 80% LVR
Value vs advantage+41% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 9)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investor profile

Who invests in Balnarring Beach

Owner-occupied 89%Rented 11%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared7.8%
174 of 383 landlords
Avg rental loss$8,577/yr
Landlords (rental income)383
Reported capital gains410
Investor exposure index(low vs national)49.4/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

87% of homes here are owner-occupied and 11% rented, with 8% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

87% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

What to check

Gross yield 1.3% is thin — returns here lean on capital growth, not cash flow.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

114%
of household income to service a new loan
25.8 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $8,085/mo vs median rent $1,833/mo (+341% · +$1443/wk)

If rates move

At 4.2%: $6,455/mo (-1,630) · at 6.2% (current): $8,085/mo · at 8.2%: $9,870/mo (+1,786)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
19.4x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
26%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Manageable

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,800/mo, while renters pay about $1,833/mo — renting runs $33/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.65M
Household income · yr
$85K
Median rent · wk
$423
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,800
Gross yield
1.3%

Household income

$85K household · yr+3.4% vs VIC suburb median
Personal
$45K
Family
$103K
Household
$85K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 15% could service the median house
Under $300
0
$300-649
15
$650-999
27
$1,000-1,499
29
$1,500-1,999
19
$2,000-2,999
23
$3,000-3,999
19
$4,000+
24

Serviceability line: a household needs about $6,219/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 43% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $1,410/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (188 households)
Owned outright
65%
Owned with mortgage
22%
Rented
11%
Dwelling structure51.4% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
103%
Townhouse / semi
0%
Flat / apartment
0%

Getting to work: 60% drive, 0% public transport, 0% walk or cycle, 30% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Crime Year ending Mar 2026
11,588
6,718 per 100k
D8 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k6,718
Total incidents11,588· Year ending Mar 2026
  • Assault98642%
  • Sexual Offences32114%
  • Robbery432%
  • Break And Enter1,00543%

Building due diligence

Construction requirements can change by location.

The National Construction Code is the baseline. Local hazards and site classifications can change the required structure, materials, fixings, insulation and detailing.

Known here

SUBURB CONTEXT

Bushfire-prone designation

Severe broad-area context

About 98.1% of the suburb is within Victoria's mapped Bushfire Prone Area.

May affect: External construction · Roof and wall systems · Openings, screens and decks

Flood and moisture context

No mapped flood exposure

About 1.0% of the suburb intersects VIC LSIO.

May affect: Floor levels and drainage · Water-resistant assemblies · Material durability

Check the property

ADDRESS + DESIGN

NCC climate zone

Check the property

Confirm the NCC climate zone used for the building design and energy provisions.

May affect: Insulation and glazing · Condensation control · Roof-space ventilation

Wind class and BAL

Site assessment required

A suburb layer cannot determine the site wind classification or Bushfire Attack Level.

May affect: Structure and tie-downs · Cladding and fixings · Openings and bushfire detailing

Corrosion and termite exposure

Check the property

Confirm marine or corrosive exposure and the applicable termite-management requirements.

May affect: Fasteners and connectors · Roofing and coatings · Termite management

This screen identifies investigation triggers, not building quality or property compliance. Confirm the address, design and current jurisdiction rules with the council, building surveyor or certifier, designer and engineer.

NCC 2022 Housing Provisions: how to use · NCC 2022 Volume Two and Housing Provisions

Bushfire-prone area

Partly designated ~98.1%
~98.1% of the suburb is within Victoria's designated Bushfire Prone Area

Share of the suburb within Victoria's gazetted Bushfire Prone Area (Vicmap, CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. A Bushfire Prone Area is a planning designation that triggers the building code's bushfire construction provisions — it is not a graduated hazard rating or a property-level Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Flood exposure

No mapped exposure ~1.0%
~1.0% of the suburb sits within a mapped flood-hazard area

Estimated exposure to the official flood-hazard layer (VIC LSIO), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within mapped flood-planning areas — it is not a property-level flood certificate. Areas without a completed flood study may be unmapped. Check the local council's flood maps for an individual property.

Short-term rentals

19
active listings · ~40.3 per 1,000 residents
100%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
32%
run by multi-listing operators
Investment view Estimated
$298
median nightly (entire home)
16%
estimated occupancy
$15,592
estimated annual revenue (gross)

Estimated short-let income is 0.7× the $21,996/yr a long-term let would earn at the median rent — before management fees, cleaning, vacancy beyond the occupancy model, and short-stay regulation.

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Planning zones

Dominant zone General Residential (GRZ)
Residential 72% Public / Open space 25% Rural / Green wedge 1%
Residential density: Standard

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against Vicmap Planning scheme-zone polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Growth outlook · Mornington Peninsula LGA

Dwellings
+11.7%
93,600 → 104,550
+10,950 dwellings
Population
+10.1%
170,390 → 187,540
Households
+14.5%
71,000 → 81,300

LGA-level official projection (Victoria in Future 2023, DTP). Indicative of the wider council area, not a suburb-level forecast.

Population outlook

24,063 people · 202224,657 by 2032 (+2.5%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Hastings - Somers SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Balnarring Beach VIC — Property Data and Demographics

Balnarring Beach is a sparsely populated locality in Victoria within the Mornington Peninsula local government area (postcode 3926). With a population of 471, the suburb has an older demographic with a median age of 58. Households earn a median income of $85K per year, with an average household size of 2.3 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.8% year-on-year at the LGA level. VIC employment has moved +0.8% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. VIC also had 41 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 18 underway, and 24 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, clerical & administrative. Employment in the area leans toward construction and education. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Scottish.

The median house price in Balnarring Beach is $1.6 million, having declined steeply by 23.3% over the past year. The median weekly rent is $423 (Census 2021). This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 1.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,800.

The crime rate in the Mornington Peninsula LGA is moderate at 6,718 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 1.3%, which reads as low yield. Property prices are above the state median ($1.6M/$850K), placing it in the premium segment. The price-to-income ratio of 19.4x is considered stretched. House prices have moved -23.3% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.8% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield1.3% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.6M/$850K Above Median
Affordability19.4x Stretched
Price Momentum-23.3% Falling
Pop. Growth+0.8%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentVIC
Mortgage · mth$1,800
Rent · wk(Census)$423
Gross yield1.3%
Price / income19.4x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q4)5
Population growth · Mornington Peninsula LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)172,217
5-year growth+0.2% CAGR
YoY change+0.8%
20012025
Development · Mornington Peninsula LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)742
Houses 61%Units 39%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Mornington Peninsula LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.4%
YoY change-0.3pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 3926ATO
Negatively geared7.8%
174 of filers
Avg rental loss$8,577/yr
Landlords (rental income)383
Reported capital gains410
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population471
Median age58
Household size2.3
HH income · wk$1,637
Personal income · wk$866
Persons / bedroom0.7
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)9/10
Education (IEO)10/10
Economic (IER)8/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)9/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,365 → $1,637
Change+19.9%
vs VIC median-3.6 pp
Median rent+39.1%
stablevs VIC 2016–21
Area & amenity
Hospitals · Mornington Peninsula LGAAIHW
Public2
Private2
Rosebud Hospitalpublic
The Mornington Centrepublic
Beleura Private Hospitalprivate
The Bays Hospitalprivate
Aged care · Mornington Peninsula LGAGEN
Facilities26
Residential places2,568
Bentons Lodge - Residential Aged Service170 places
Regis Capel Sound170 places
Mt Eliza Gardens Aged Care150 places
Mornington Bay Care Community140 places
Somerville Gardens Care Community130 places
Racecourse Grange Residential Care129 places
+20 more in Mornington Peninsula LGA
Childcare · Mornington Peninsula LGAACECQA
Services110
Approved places6,704
Exceeding NQS31
Explorers Early Learning - Mornington153 places
Toorak College Preschool132 places
Westernport Child Care Centre130 places
Pelican Childcare Mount Martha124 places
Mt Eliza House Child Care and Early Learning Centre123 places
Story House Early Learning Mornington122 places
+104 more in Mornington Peninsula LGA
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Sources & freshness
Verify-heavy evidence

Much of Balnarring Beach rests on evidence that should be verified before a decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
Manual release files still matter here.

DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is falling back to Census, not a market feed.

This gives you directional coverage, but it is weaker than a current rent release.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
VIC Property Sales Report · 2025-Q4 · DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.
medium stability · mixed acquisition · every update · quarterly
Available
Market rent
ABS Census 2021 · Using Census rent fallback
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Verify
Crime
VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Year ending Mar 2026 · Area-level release dataset
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · No matched local transport stops
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Balnarring Beach FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Balnarring Beach in?

    Balnarring Beach is in the Mornington Peninsula Local Government Area, VIC, postcode 3926. Council-level context for Mornington Peninsula LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Balnarring Beach?

    The current median house price in Balnarring Beach, VIC is $1.6M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Balnarring Beach?

    The median weekly rent in Balnarring Beach is $423/wk, based on ABS Census 2021 rent fallback.

  4. Is Balnarring Beach a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Balnarring Beach show: Low Yield, Above Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  5. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Balnarring Beach?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  6. How often is the Balnarring Beach data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.