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Suburb profile ·Randwick LGA · NSW ·2036

Phillip Bay NSW 2036

Phillip Bay is in Randwick LGA, NSW, postcode 2036, with population 721.

The read

Premium-market

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$1150/wk
Rising
+7.7% YoY
Jun 2025 → Jun 2026 · 13 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2036 · Jun 2026
$1228
$1020
Jun 2025Jun 2026
Why it fits

Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case. Small local population makes the signal set more fragile.

Median house
$2.7M
House median, latest period
1.6%YoY D10 vs AU
Median rent
$1150/wk
Rent-pressure candidate
7.7%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.2%
Low yield band
D7 vs AU
Population
721
721 local footprint
D7 vs AU
Schools
No matched school data
Drive to city
Not in commute dataset
Solar
2,477
197 added 12mo · 20MW
Price cycleRising
LowPeak

1.6% below peak · 295.0% above its low

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q1'15 · Units to 2025 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionRising
Low · 2007Peak · 2024

1.6% below peak · 295.0% above its low

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+1.9%
5-yr
+9.1%
10-yr
+9.1%
Indicative cashflow-$1,757/wk (-$91,342/yr) · interest-only @ 6.4%, 80% LVR
Rent stabilitytypical — rents vary ±5.0% around trend (short window, 13 pts)
Value vs advantage+138% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 7)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Cgrade · 55/100 · top 45% of 3,604AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 55% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth65
Rental yield27
Stability83
Volatility-11.7ppCycle+2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Phillip Bay

Owner-occupied 78%Rented 22%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared8.8%
1,801 of 4,000 landlords
Avg rental loss$11,030/yr
Landlords (rental income)4,000
Reported capital gains1,980
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

79% of homes here are owner-occupied and 23% rented, with 9% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

79% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

What to check

Gross yield 2.2% is thin — returns here lean on capital growth, not cash flow. Social housing is 13% of dwellings — check tenant mix and resale demand.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

137%
of household income to service a new loan
31.1 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $13,033/mo vs median rent $4,983/mo (+162% · +$1858/wk)

If rates move

At 4.2%: $10,406/mo (-2,627) · at 6.2% (current): $13,033/mo · at 8.2%: $15,912/mo (+2,879)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
23.3x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
52%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,817/mo, while renters pay about $4,983/mo — renting runs $2,166/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$2.66M
Household income · yr
$114K
Median rent · wk
$1,150
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,817
Gross yield
2.2%

Household income

$114K household · yr+38.5% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$44K
Family
$133K
Household
$114K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 25% could service the median house
Under $300
4
$300-649
26
$650-999
23
$1,000-1,499
15
$1,500-1,999
20
$2,000-2,999
33
$3,000-3,999
30
$4,000+
51

Serviceability line: a household needs about $10,026/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 72% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $3,833/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (221 households)12.7% social housing
Owned outright
41%
Owned with mortgage
39%
Rented
23%
Dwelling structure5.4% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
85%
Townhouse / semi
12%
Flat / apartment
7%

Getting to work: 55% drive, 4% public transport, 3% walk or cycle, 38% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Livability

3/ 100 livability index

Top 97% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 3% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access19
Public transport (2 stops)15
Schools & hospitals0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
3,855
2,666 per 100k
D4 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,666
Total incidents3,855· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault78158%
  • Sexual Offences21716%
  • Robbery252%
  • Break And Enter33525%

Building due diligence

Construction requirements can change by location.

The National Construction Code is the baseline. Local hazards and site classifications can change the required structure, materials, fixings, insulation and detailing.

Known here

SUBURB CONTEXT

Bushfire-prone land

No mapped bushfire exposure

About 0.0% of the suburb intersects mapped bushfire-prone land.

May affect: External construction · Roof and wall systems · Openings, screens and decks

Check the property

ADDRESS + DESIGN

NCC climate zone

Check the property

Confirm the NCC climate zone used for the building design and energy provisions.

May affect: Insulation and glazing · Condensation control · Roof-space ventilation

Wind class and BAL

Site assessment required

A suburb layer cannot determine the site wind classification or Bushfire Attack Level.

May affect: Structure and tie-downs · Cladding and fixings · Openings and bushfire detailing

Corrosion and termite exposure

Check the property

Confirm marine or corrosive exposure and the applicable termite-management requirements.

May affect: Fasteners and connectors · Roofing and coatings · Termite management

This screen identifies investigation triggers, not building quality or property compliance. Confirm the address, design and current jurisdiction rules with the council, building surveyor or certifier, designer and engineer.

NCC 2022 Housing Provisions: how to use · NCC 2022 Volume Two and Housing Provisions

Bushfire exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Public Recreation
Residential 37% Public / Open space 32% Other 12% Rural / Green wedge 7%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

10,611 people · 202210,828 by 2032 (+2.0%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Malabar - La Perouse SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Phillip Bay NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Phillip Bay (postcode 2036) is a close-knit residential community in New South Wales within the Randwick local government area. It is home to about 721 residents, with a settled mid-life population and a median age of 44. Households earn a median income of $114K per year, with an average household size of 3.1 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.2% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, technicians & trades, managers. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and construction. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Aboriginal Australian.

The median house price in Phillip Bay is $2.7 million, having dipped slightly by 1.6% over the past year. Units have a median price of $2.0 million (+23.7% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $1150. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,817.

Public transport access includes 2 bus stops. The crime rate in the Randwick LGA is below average at 2,666 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 2.2%, which reads as low yield. Property prices are above the state median ($2.7M/$1.5M), placing it in the premium segment. The price-to-income ratio of 23.3x is considered stretched. House prices have moved -1.6% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.2% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.2% Low Yield
Price vs State$2.7M/$1.5M Above Median
Affordability23.3x Stretched
Price Momentum-1.6% Falling
Pop. Growth+1.2%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,817
Rent · wk(Census)$313
Market rent · wk(2026-06)$1150
Gross yield0.6%
Price / income23.3x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2015-Q1)6
Population growth · Randwick LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)146,484
5-year growth+0.6% CAGR
YoY change+1.2%
20012025
Development · Randwick LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)429
Houses 15%Units 85%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Randwick LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)4.6%
YoY change-0.2pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2036ATO
Negatively geared8.8%
1,801 of filers
Avg rental loss$11,030/yr
Landlords (rental income)4,000
Reported capital gains1,980
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population721
Median age44
Household size3.1
HH income · wk$2,193
Personal income · wk$845
Persons / bedroom0.9
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)7/10
Education (IEO)8/10
Economic (IER)8/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)9/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$2,139 → $2,193
Change+2.5%
vs NSW median-18.1 pp
Median rent+84.1%
softeningvs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops2
Hospitals · Randwick LGAAIHW
Public4
Private4
Justice Health Servicespublic
Prince of Wales Hospitalpublic
Royal Hospital for Womenpublic
Sydney Children's Hospitalpublic
Cosmos Cosmetic Day Surgeryprivate
Eastern Suburbs Private Hospitalprivate
+2 more in Randwick LGA
Aged care · Randwick LGAGEN
Facilities14
Residential places1,148
Randwick Montefiore Home276 places
Estia Health Little Bay155 places
St Basil's Randwick116 places
SummitCare Randwick94 places
Bupa Maroubra90 places
St Brigid's Green Maroubra66 places
+8 more in Randwick LGA
Childcare · Randwick LGAACECQA
Services96
Approved places6,685
Exceeding NQS13
Randwick OOSH400 places
Coogee Care Centre Incorporated236 places
TeamKids - Lycee Condorcet208 places
3Bridges Rainbow Street196 places
Paisley Park Early Learning Centre Randwick160 places
South Coogee Children's Services155 places
+90 more in Randwick LGA
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Phillip Bay carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2015-Q1 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-06 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 2 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Phillip Bay FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Phillip Bay in?

    Phillip Bay is in the Randwick Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2036. Council-level context for Randwick LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Phillip Bay?

    The current median house price in Phillip Bay, NSW is $2.7M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Phillip Bay?

    The median weekly rent in Phillip Bay is $1150/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-pressure candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Phillip Bay?

    Rent-pressure candidate: Phillip Bay rents screen above the local benchmark. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Phillip Bay a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Phillip Bay show: Low Yield, Above Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Phillip Bay?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Phillip Bay data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.